Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Panathinaikos v PAOK Thessaloniki

Início: 2026-09-06 18:30 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos 3–1 PAOK Thessaloniki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Panathinaikos (Local)

Previsão 47.88%2.09odd justa
EV +0.543%
Vantagem +0.259%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.21%48.06%47.78%50.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.941.942.1056.18%51.58%51.55%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Previsão 24.79%4.03odd justa
EV +3.14%
Vantagem +0.754%
Kelly +0.993%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.49%24.62%24.83%28.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.633.604.1631.25%27.58%27.78%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.33%3.66odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.682%
Kelly -0.947%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.23%27.32%27.39%28.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.323.353.5733.33%30.10%29.85%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Panathinaikos (Local): 47.88%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante): 24.79%; Empate: 27.33%. Para PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.03. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.08%EV +3.14%E +0.754%K +0.993%G +0.031%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.532%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.829%E -0.207%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:19
Suprabets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -9.51%E -5.03%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.19%EV -1.08%E -0.270%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.87%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:18
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.24%E -2.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:15
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:15
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -9.01%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -2.43%E -0.682%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.84%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.20%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:15
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:09
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -8.07%E -4.21%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.01%E -6.00%K -9.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -9.03%E -4.75%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.91%E -6.47%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.78%E -8.30%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -9.99%E -5.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -14.46%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV +0.543%E +0.259%K +0.494%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.38%E -6.77%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -7.60%E -3.94%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -16.94%E -5.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:15
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.28%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -1.85%E -0.903%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-09-06 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-09-06 18:25
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-06 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-06 18:25