Language:English
Panathinaikos v Aris Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.03%52.57%52.57%54.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.26%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 18.68%5.35fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.648%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.74%18.57%18.66%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.874.805.5122.73%20.54%20.83%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%28.86%28.77%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.153.3534.48%31.71%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 52.48%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 18.68%; Draw: 28.84%. For Aris Thessaloniki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.44%EV +2.92%E +0.531%K +0.648%G +0.019% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -3.95%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.48%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV +2.74%E +0.498%K +0.608%G +0.017% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.08%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -7.16%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -6.84%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -11.84%E -7.05%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -9.40%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -9.72%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.36%EV -17.08%E -10.81%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.56%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.07%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-01 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.89%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 17:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.31%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.09%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.14%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.70%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.16%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.18%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.92%EV -15.01%E -3.30%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.71%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-01 17:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-01 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.81%E -4.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25% | 2.0% | 2026-03-01 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.04% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48% | 2.8% | 2026-03-01 17:55 |