La escuela de los momios

Panathinaikos v Aris Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Predicción 52.48%1.91momio equitativo
EV -5.54%
Ventaja -3.08%
Kelly -6.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.03%52.57%52.57%54.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.26%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 18.68%5.35momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.648%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.74%18.57%18.66%19.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.874.805.5122.73%20.54%20.83%18.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.84%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%28.86%28.77%29.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.153.3534.48%31.71%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.44%EV +2.92%E +0.531%K +0.648%G +0.019%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -3.95%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 17:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.48%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV +2.74%E +0.498%K +0.608%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 17:34
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.08%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:50
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:49
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:09
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:34
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:14
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -7.16%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -6.84%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -11.84%E -7.05%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -9.40%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -9.72%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 17:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 17:49
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:20
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:20
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.36%EV -17.08%E -10.81%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.56%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.07%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-01 17:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:14
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 17:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.89%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 17:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.31%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 17:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 17:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.09%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.14%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.70%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.16%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.18%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.92%EV -15.01%E -3.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.71%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 17:53
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.81%E -4.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:54
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.04%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-03-01 17:55