L’École des cotes

Panathinaikos v Aris Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Panathinaikos (Local)

Prévision 52.48%1.91cote équitable
EV -5.54%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -6.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.03%52.57%52.57%54.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.751.751.8063.29%57.26%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.68%5.35cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +0.648%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.74%18.57%18.66%19.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.874.805.5122.73%20.54%20.83%18.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.84%3.47cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%28.86%28.77%29.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.153.3534.48%31.71%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.44%EV +2.92%E +0.531%K +0.648%G +0.019%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -3.95%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 17:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.48%EV -11.31%E -6.69%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV +2.74%E +0.498%K +0.608%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 17:34
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.08%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.29%EV -7.99%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -0.998%E -0.188%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:50
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.81%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.93%E -0.368%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.18%EV -6.55%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:49
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -2.87%E -0.551%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.38%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:09
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -6.26%E -1.93%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:15
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:34
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.60%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:14
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -7.16%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -6.84%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.24%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:19
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -8.47%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -11.84%E -7.05%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -9.40%E -1.94%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -9.72%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 17:34
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 17:49
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 17:54
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:20
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.15%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 17:20
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.36%EV -17.08%E -10.81%K -29.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.56%EV -10.34%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.07%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-01 17:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 17:14
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 17:54
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 17:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.89%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 17:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.31%EV -10.26%E -6.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.83%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 17:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -11.27%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 17:09
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.09%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -13.47%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-01 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.14%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.70%EV -14.07%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.16%EV -14.91%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.18%EV -13.41%E -8.13%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.92%EV -15.01%E -3.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -14.05%E -4.71%K -7.10%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-01 17:53
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.16%E -4.66%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -15.94%E -3.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.69%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.81%E -4.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%2.0%2026-03-01 17:54
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.04%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-03-01 17:55