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Olympiakos Piraeus v AEK Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -5.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.71%53.73%53.77%55.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.721.7863.29%58.08%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEK Athens (Visit)
Prediction 19.39%5.16fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +0.943%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%19.30%19.31%21.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.624.535.4224.39%21.67%22.10%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%26.97%26.92%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiakos Piraeus (Local): 53.68%; AEK Athens (Visit): 19.39%; Draw: 26.92%. For AEK Athens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.74%EV +5.11%E +0.943%K +1.16%G +0.059% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 17:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.18%EV -0.320%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -4.97%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -11.76%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 17:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.97%EV -15.18%E -9.61%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.38%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.65%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.59%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -20.49%E -5.00%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.49% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.31% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.73% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.11% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |