La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Olympiakos Piraeus v AEK Athens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)
Predicción 53.68%1.86momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -5.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.71%53.73%53.77%55.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.721.721.7863.29%58.08%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEK Athens (Visitante)
Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV +5.11%
Ventaja +0.943%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.66%19.30%19.31%21.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.624.535.4224.39%21.67%22.10%18.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.37%26.97%26.92%27.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.48%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.74%EV +5.11%E +0.943%K +1.16%G +0.059% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 17:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.18%EV -0.320%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -4.97%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:48 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:58 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -11.76%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 17:57 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.97%EV -15.18%E -9.61%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.38%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.65%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-05 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.59%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -20.49%E -5.00%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.49% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.31% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.73% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.11% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 18:01 |