Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Olympiakos Piraeus v AEK Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 18:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Prévision 53.68%1.86cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -2.50%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.71%53.73%53.77%55.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.721.721.7863.29%58.08%58.14%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AEK Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.39%5.16cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +0.943%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 5.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%19.30%19.31%21.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.624.535.4224.39%21.67%22.10%18.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.37%26.97%26.92%27.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Olympiakos Piraeus (Local) : 53.68% ; AEK Athens (Visiteur) : 19.39% ; Match nul : 26.92%. Pour AEK Athens (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.16. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.42, soit une espérance positive de +5.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.74%EV +5.11%E +0.943%K +1.16%G +0.059%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 18:00
Suprabets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV +2.78%E +0.525%K +0.647%G +0.018%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 17:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV +0.843%E +0.162%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 18:00
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -9.28%E -5.49%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.18%EV -0.320%E -0.062%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.54%EV -5.23%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 17:59
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 18:01
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.04%E -0.607%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:01
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -4.97%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:01
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.20%E -4.80%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 18:00
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -6.06%E -3.46%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:59
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 17:48
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 17:58
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.91%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 18:01
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:00
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -8.85%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:01
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:59
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -10.79%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%EV -10.89%E -6.56%K -16.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -11.76%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 17:57
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.35%E -6.20%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 17:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -13.03%E -8.05%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.73%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -16.53%E -5.33%K -7.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 18:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -7.67%E -4.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.50%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 17:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 53.97%EV -15.18%E -9.61%K -26.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.38%EV -14.67%E -3.33%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.65%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-05 17:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.82%EV -4.44%E -2.50%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -16.61%E -3.86%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 18:01
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.77%EV -5.52%E -3.14%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -17.58%E -4.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -6.59%E -3.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 18:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.59%EV -9.81%E -5.84%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -18.55%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 18:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -8.74%E -5.14%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -20.49%E -5.00%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 18:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.49%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-04-05 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.31%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-04-05 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-04-05 18:01
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%3.1%2026-04-05 18:01
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 53.73%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.11%10.1%2026-04-05 18:01