Language:English
OFI Crete v AEL
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
OFI Crete (Local)
Prediction 37.17%2.69fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.850%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.28%37.01%37.15%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.422.442.7348.78%41.32%41.07%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEL (Visit)
Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV +14.89%
Edge +4.14%
Kelly +5.73%
Growth +0.853%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%31.92%31.95%33.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.903.6039.22%34.81%34.48%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.92%3.23fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.27%31.07%30.89%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.68%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: OFI Crete (Local): 37.17%; AEL (Visit): 31.92%; Draw: 30.92%. For AEL (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -23.80%E -11.61%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV +14.89%E +4.14%K +5.73%G +0.853% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.850%G +0.012% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -11.27%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 05:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 05:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -6.81%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.13%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -15.26%E -6.69%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-25 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -10.05%E -4.15%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -15.91%E -5.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 38.31%EV -14.14%E -6.12%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.38%EV -10.00%E -3.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.31%EV -9.72%E -3.33%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 06:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-26 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.53%E -6.12%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 06:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.30%EV -14.98%E -5.45%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |