L’École des cotes

OFI Crete v AEL

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Prévision 37.17%2.69cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.850%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.28%37.01%37.15%44.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.422.442.7348.78%41.32%41.07%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEL (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.92%3.13cote équitable
EV +14.89%
Avantage +4.14%
Kelly +5.73%
Croissance +0.853%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%31.92%31.95%33.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.872.903.6039.22%34.81%34.48%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.92%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.27%31.07%30.89%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.68%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -23.80%E -11.61%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV +14.89%E +4.14%K +5.73%G +0.853%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:01
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.850%G +0.012%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -11.27%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:05
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 05:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 05:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 05:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 05:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -6.81%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.13%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 06:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 11:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:04
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:24
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -15.26%E -6.69%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 17:24
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 15:05
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:35
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -10.05%E -4.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 06:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -15.91%E -5.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 13:43
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 38.31%EV -14.14%E -6.12%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.38%EV -10.00%E -3.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.31%EV -9.72%E -3.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 06:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 11:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:09
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:34
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:34
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:34
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 06:09
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-26 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.53%E -6.12%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 06:49
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.30%EV -14.98%E -5.45%K -8.56%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-02-28 14:05
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%2.9%2026-02-28 14:05