A Escola das Odds

OFI Crete v AEL

Início: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Previsão 37.17%2.69odd justa
EV +1.47%
Vantagem +0.538%
Kelly +0.850%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.28%37.01%37.15%44.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.422.442.7348.78%41.32%41.07%36.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Visitante)

Previsão 31.92%3.13odd justa
EV +14.89%
Vantagem +4.14%
Kelly +5.73%
Crescimento +0.853%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.53%31.92%31.95%33.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.872.903.6039.22%34.81%34.48%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.92%3.23odd justa
EV -4.16%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.27%31.07%30.89%33.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.973.003.1037.04%33.68%33.33%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -23.80%E -11.61%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV +14.89%E +4.14%K +5.73%G +0.853%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:01
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.28%EV +1.47%E +0.538%K +0.850%G +0.012%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -1.38%E -0.447%K -0.662%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -11.27%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:05
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 05:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%EV +0.355%E +0.131%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -1.70%E -0.553%K -0.818%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 05:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 05:29
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 05:34
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -13.77%E -5.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 17:24
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -12.65%E -5.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -6.81%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.13%EV -6.63%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 06:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -3.36%E -1.29%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 11:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:04
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 10:40
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:24
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 17:25
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.38%EV -15.26%E -6.69%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 17:24
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 15:05
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:35
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -10.05%E -4.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 06:09
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.61%EV -15.91%E -5.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 13:43
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 38.31%EV -14.14%E -6.12%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.38%EV -10.00%E -3.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.31%EV -9.72%E -3.33%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 06:14
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 11:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.70%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:09
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.22%E -2.05%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.16%E -1.34%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 11:34
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.08%E -2.83%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:34
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:34
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -8.94%E -3.65%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 06:09
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.51%E -6.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -10.34%E -3.57%K -5.44%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -11.54%E -4.85%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -13.43%E -4.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-26 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.80%E -4.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -16.06%E -6.11%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -16.53%E -6.12%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 06:49
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.03%EV -16.37%E -7.28%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -18.62%E -7.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.30%EV -14.98%E -5.45%K -8.56%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-02-28 14:05
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.39%2.9%2026-02-28 14:05