Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–2 Panathinaikos

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos (Local)

Prediction 15.53%6.44fair odd
EV +4.03%
Edge +0.601%
Kelly +0.707%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.74%15.62%15.58%18.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.675.506.7021.05%17.63%18.18%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 61.03%1.64fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.65%60.88%61.05%62.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.5870.92%65.77%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.44%4.27fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -0.941%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.50%23.37%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.854.1427.78%25.70%25.97%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levadiakos (Local): 15.53%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 61.03%; Draw: 23.44%. For Levadiakos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV +4.03%E +0.601%K +0.707%G +0.028%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.64%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:20
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:14
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
1xBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Pinnacle🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.94%EV -0.318%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -2.96%E -0.714%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:20
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -2.96%E -0.473%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Suprabets🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.65%EV -7.64%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:16
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
Betsson🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.92%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.51%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:15
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:15
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 16:25
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.64%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -9.94%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.38%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:15
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:55
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -13.94%E -9.89%K -34.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-31 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -22.37%E -4.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 17.99%EV -26.25%E -5.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.92%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-08-31 16:25
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.14%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-08-31 16:15