Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

2026-08-31 16:30 UTC — Super League - Greece

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Levadiakos (Local)

Prediction 15.08%6.63fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.59%15.05%15.11%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.906.006.5019.05%16.96%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos (Visit)

Prediction 60.24%1.66fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -10.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.92%60.27%60.28%60.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.38%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.960%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%24.67%24.61%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.693.713.9029.24%27.11%26.95%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Levadiakos (Local): 15.08%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 60.24%; Draw: 24.68%. For Levadiakos (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.50, with an expected value of -1.97%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.97%E -0.303%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -6.03%E -3.87%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.98%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 08:49
1xBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV -6.50%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -7.23%E -4.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.74%E -0.960%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 08:49
Betsson🎯6.19I 16.16%NM 14.97%EV -6.65%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.78%EV -6.63%E -4.28%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.25%EV -9.42%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 08:50
NordicBet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -8.00%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.04%EV -8.44%E -5.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.91%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 08:50
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.84%E -5.12%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 08:49
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.84%E -5.12%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.45%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 08:50
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.64%E -6.43%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 08:49
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.64%E -6.43%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 08:50
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -9.64%E -6.43%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 08:54
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.51%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.44%E -5.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.39%EV -15.54%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.42%EV -12.66%E -8.73%K -28.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.19%EV -15.59%E -4.56%K -6.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -18.56%E -3.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.34%EV -10.85%E -7.33%K -22.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -11.15%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.34%EV -20.07%E -3.79%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%EV -11.45%E -7.79%K -24.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-22 08:49
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.27%EV -20.82%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.32%EV -13.26%E -9.21%K -30.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.41%EV -13.62%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-22 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 15.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%16.1%2026-08-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-22 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-22 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 08:50

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