Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

Inicio: 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–2 Panathinaikos

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 15.53%6.44momio equitativo
EV +4.03%
Ventaja +0.601%
Kelly +0.707%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.74%15.62%15.58%18.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.675.506.7021.05%17.63%18.18%14.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Predicción 61.03%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -6.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.65%60.88%61.05%62.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.531.5870.92%65.77%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.44%4.27momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.47%23.50%23.37%24.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.893.854.1427.78%25.70%25.97%24.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Levadiakos (Local): 15.53%; Panathinaikos (Visitante): 61.03%; Empate: 23.44%. Para Levadiakos (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.44. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV +4.03%E +0.601%K +0.707%G +0.028%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.64%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:20
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:14
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
1xBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Pinnacle🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.94%EV -0.318%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -2.96%E -0.714%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:20
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -2.96%E -0.473%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Suprabets🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.65%EV -7.64%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:16
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
Betsson🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.92%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.51%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:15
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:15
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 16:25
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.64%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -9.94%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.38%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:15
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:55
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -13.94%E -9.89%K -34.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-31 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -22.37%E -4.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 17.99%EV -26.25%E -5.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.92%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-08-31 16:25
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.14%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-08-31 16:15