Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos v Panathinaikos

Início: 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–2 Panathinaikos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos (Local)

Previsão 15.53%6.44odd justa
EV +4.03%
Vantagem +0.601%
Kelly +0.707%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.74%15.62%15.58%18.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.675.506.7021.05%17.63%18.18%14.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Previsão 61.03%1.64odd justa
EV -3.57%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -6.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.65%60.88%61.05%62.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.411.521.531.5870.92%65.77%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.44%4.27odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -0.714%
Kelly -0.941%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.47%23.50%23.37%24.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.854.1427.78%25.70%25.97%24.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Levadiakos (Local): 15.53%; Panathinaikos (Visitante): 61.03%; Empate: 23.44%. Para Levadiakos (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.44. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.03%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV +4.03%E +0.601%K +0.707%G +0.028%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.64%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:20
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:14
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:24
1xBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.924%E +0.142%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:20
Pinnacle🎯6.42I 15.58%NM 14.94%EV -0.318%E -0.050%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -5.40%E -3.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.17%EV -2.96%E -0.714%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 16:20
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -2.96%E -0.473%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Suprabets🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.03%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.31%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.65%EV -7.64%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:16
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -7.84%E -5.19%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:20
Betsson🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.92%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.51%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -3.73%E -0.602%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 16:15
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:15
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.28%EV -10.28%E -6.99%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 16:25
BetUS🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -8.39%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.64%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -9.94%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -6.01%E -3.90%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 16:18
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -13.05%E -2.33%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.38%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:15
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 12:55
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.60%E -2.66%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.23%E -4.76%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.48%EV -9.67%E -6.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 15.90%EV -16.16%E -2.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%EV -13.94%E -9.89%K -34.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.21%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -3.57%E -2.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Casumo🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Grosvenor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
TABtouch🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -4.18%E -2.66%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.89%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -6.62%E -4.33%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 16:10
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -18.48%E -3.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -12.11%E -8.41%K -27.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-31 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -22.37%E -4.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -23.92%E -4.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -8.45%E -5.63%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 17.99%EV -26.25%E -5.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.92%EV -11.50%E -7.93%K -25.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-08-31 16:25
Smarkets◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%1.9%2026-08-31 16:25
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.14%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%2.9%2026-08-31 16:15