Language:English
Levadiakos v Aris Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Levadiakos (Local)
Prediction 41.43%2.41fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.614%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.64%41.06%41.42%42.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.282.252.4548.31%43.96%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%29.67%29.35%32.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.043.003.3437.04%32.93%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%29.26%29.24%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.103.3034.72%32.43%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Levadiakos (Local): 41.43%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 29.36%; Draw: 29.21%. For Levadiakos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV +1.50%E +0.614%K +1.04%G +0.016% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -1.40%E -0.586%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -17.80%E -6.36%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -3.47%E -1.49%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.84%EV -1.95%E -0.585%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 13:56 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -20.74%E -7.68%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:01 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.29%EV -8.44%E -3.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -7.10%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 13:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 13:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.36%EV -14.24%E -6.88%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.28%E -4.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.69%E -5.03%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 36.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 31.92% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 31.33% | 47.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |