A Escola das Odds

Levadiakos v Aris Thessaloniki

Início: 2026-04-05 14:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Levadiakos (Local)

Previsão 41.43%2.41odd justa
EV +1.50%
Vantagem +0.614%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.64%41.06%41.42%42.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.072.282.252.4548.31%43.96%44.44%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Previsão 29.36%3.41odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.585%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.32%29.67%29.35%32.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.043.003.3437.04%32.93%33.33%29.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.21%3.42odd justa
EV -3.59%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.45%29.26%29.24%30.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.083.103.3034.72%32.43%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV +1.50%E +0.614%K +1.04%G +0.016%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:00
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 14:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 14:01
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -1.40%E -0.586%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -17.80%E -6.36%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:00
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -3.47%E -1.49%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.84%EV -1.95%E -0.585%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 14:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 13:59
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:00
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:59
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 13:59
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 14:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 13:56
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -20.74%E -7.68%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 14:01
Suprabets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.29%EV -8.44%E -3.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -7.10%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:56
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 13:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 13:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 14:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 14:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 13:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 13:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 13:59
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 13:59
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-05 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 13:58
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 13:59
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.36%EV -14.24%E -6.88%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.28%E -4.89%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.69%E -5.03%K -7.65%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-05 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-04-05 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-04-05 14:00
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%3.4%2026-04-05 14:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 36.75%2.13I 46.95%NM 31.92%2.17I 46.08%NM 31.33%47.1%2026-04-05 14:00