La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Levadiakos v Aris Thessaloniki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Levadiakos (Local)
Predicción 41.43%2.41momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.64%41.06%41.42%42.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.282.252.4548.31%43.96%44.44%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)
Predicción 29.36%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.585%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%29.67%29.35%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.043.003.3437.04%32.93%33.33%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.45%29.26%29.24%30.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.083.103.3034.72%32.43%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV +1.50%E +0.614%K +1.04%G +0.016% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.68%EV +0.676%E +0.278%K +0.473%G +0.003% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.79%EV -15.46%E -5.37%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -0.567%E -0.236%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -16.34%E -5.73%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -1.40%E -0.586%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -17.80%E -6.36%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -3.47%E -1.49%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -4.30%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.84%EV -1.95%E -0.585%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -4.71%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -19.27%E -7.01%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.54%E -2.43%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 13:56 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -6.78%E -3.01%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -20.74%E -7.68%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:01 |
| Suprabets | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.29%EV -8.44%E -3.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.13%E -0.948%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.39%EV -7.10%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 13:56 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.69%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 13:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.97%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.36%EV -14.24%E -6.88%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.28%E -4.89%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.32%EV -14.69%E -5.03%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-05 13:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 36.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 31.92% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 31.33% | 47.1% | 2026-04-05 14:00 |