Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Super League - Greece

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

24%

46%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prediction 24.24%4.13fair odd

EV -4.99%

Edge -1.27%

Kelly -1.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.90%24.24%24.24%25.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.403.653.633.9229%27%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd

EV -5.13%

Edge -2.49%

Kelly -4.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.52%46.05%46.05%46.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.841.961.952.0654%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd

EV -7.90%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -3.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.52%29.71%29.71%30.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.983.003.1036%34%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.92I 25.51%NM 23.90%EV -4.99%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.48%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.62%EV -9.09%E -2.97%K -4.41%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-22 03:15
FanDuel	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-22 03:13
SportsBet	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-22 03:10
Winamax (DE)	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -11.53%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 45.96%EV -12.50%E -6.58%K -13.89%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%	14.5%	2026-07-22 03:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-22 03:15
Paddy Power	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.74%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-07-22 03:14
Winamax (FR)	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.08%EV -15.17%E -4.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 45.81%EV -15.27%E -8.30%K -18.17%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.10%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%	18.6%	2026-07-22 03:15
Sky Bet	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -17.59%E -5.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%	15.2%	2026-07-22 03:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.