Language:English
Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kalamata FC (Local)
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV +0.020%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%28.01%28.00%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5632.26%30.42%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 41.22%2.43fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.33%41.17%43.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.61%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%30.66%30.83%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.47%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalamata FC (Local): 28.10%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visit): 41.22%; Draw: 30.69%. For Kalamata FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.559. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.560, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.020%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.67%E -0.476%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.07%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -8.85%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.83%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.07%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 05:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-21 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-21 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 14:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -14.68%E -7.09%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -17.57%E -8.78%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-21 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.60%E -5.67%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-22 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |