Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki

Início: 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Kalamata FC 2–3 Aris Thessaloniki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Previsão 28.10%3.56odd justa
EV +0.020%
Vantagem +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%28.01%28.00%29.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.293.303.5632.26%30.42%30.30%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Previsão 41.22%2.43odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.16%41.33%41.17%43.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.61%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.69%3.26odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.71%30.66%30.83%31.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.47%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kalamata FC (Local): 28.10%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante): 41.22%; Empate: 30.69%. Para Kalamata FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.559. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.560, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.020%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.67%E -0.476%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Suprabets🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.07%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -8.85%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:25
1xBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:27
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.83%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.07%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 05:40
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:09
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:14
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 14:19
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:34
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:24
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:00
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:58
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:58
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:34
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -14.68%E -7.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-22 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -17.57%E -8.78%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:09
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.60%E -5.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-22 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-08-22 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20