Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kalamata FC 2–3 Aris Thessaloniki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalamata FC (Local)

Prévision 28.10%3.56cote équitable
EV +0.020%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%28.01%28.00%29.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5632.26%30.42%30.30%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.22%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.16%41.33%41.17%43.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.61%45.45%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.69%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.71%30.66%30.83%31.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.47%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kalamata FC (Local) : 28.10% ; Aris Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 41.22% ; Match nul : 30.69%. Pour Kalamata FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.559. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.560, soit une espérance positive de +0.020%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV +0.020%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.67%E -0.476%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Suprabets🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.07%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -6.85%E -3.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.50%EV -8.85%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:25
1xBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.31%EV -3.63%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.26%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -8.55%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:27
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.88%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.83%EV -12.62%E -5.95%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.07%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -3.14%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -3.33%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 05:40
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 14:25
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:09
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:14
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 14:19
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.06%EV -15.10%E -7.33%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 23:34
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:24
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -9.47%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:00
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:58
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:58
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.45%E -6.40%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:34
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -14.68%E -7.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-22 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -11.50%E -3.65%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -17.57%E -8.78%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -12.54%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:09
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.62%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.60%E -5.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-22 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-08-22 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.14%1.9%2026-08-22 15:20