Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atromitos Athens v Kalamata FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 1–1 Kalamata FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prediction 49.21%2.03fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.27%49.20%51.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.851.851.9558.48%53.94%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalamata FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV -0.673%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.60%23.68%24.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.67%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -0.878%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.14%27.12%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.63%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atromitos Athens (Local): 49.21%; Kalamata FC (Visit): 23.65%; Draw: 27.14%. For Kalamata FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.673%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -10.84%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.90%EV -5.54%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.01%EV -1.15%E -0.274%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.91%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.28%E -0.634%K -0.878%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:45
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Suprabets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.32%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 15:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.56%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.37%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -10.44%E -5.74%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -11.92%E -6.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -9.42%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -9.61%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.90%E -7.29%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -0.673%E -0.160%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.87%E -8.60%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-06 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.09%EV -15.86%E -9.27%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-09-06 15:55