Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens v Kalamata FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 16:00 UTC

Score final : Atromitos Athens 1–1 Kalamata FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 49.21%2.03cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -4.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%49.27%49.20%51.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.851.851.9558.48%53.94%54.05%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalamata FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.65%4.23cote équitable
EV -0.673%
Avantage -0.160%
Kelly -0.210%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.60%23.68%24.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.67%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.634%
Kelly -0.878%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.09%27.14%27.12%28.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.63%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atromitos Athens (Local) : 49.21% ; Kalamata FC (Visiteur) : 23.65% ; Match nul : 27.14%. Pour Kalamata FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.23. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.20, pour une espérance de -0.673% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -4.05%E -2.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -4.54%E -2.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.83%EV -10.84%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.90%EV -5.54%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.83%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.01%EV -1.15%E -0.274%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.91%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.03%E -2.61%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.01%E -3.15%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.28%E -0.634%K -0.878%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.68%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -6.51%E -3.42%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.30%EV -7.00%E -3.70%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 15:45
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.49%E -3.98%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Suprabets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.98%E -4.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.32%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 15:46
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.48%E -4.56%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.04%E -0.741%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 15:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.85%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.78%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.37%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.46%E -5.14%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -5.40%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.95%E -5.44%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -10.44%E -5.74%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.13%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -11.43%E -6.35%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.86%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.88%EV -11.92%E -6.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -9.42%E -2.46%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.81%EV -9.61%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.90%E -7.29%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -0.673%E -0.160%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.40%E -7.61%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.95%E -2.32%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 15:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.43%EV -14.87%E -8.60%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.50%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-06 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.09%EV -15.86%E -9.27%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-06 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-06 15:55
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-09-06 15:55