Language:English
Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atromitos Athens (Local)
Prediction 12.20%8.20fair odd
EV +9.79%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.65%12.20%12.33%14.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.227.209.0016.00%13.85%13.89%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEK Athens (Visit)
Prediction 66.51%1.50fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.20%66.59%66.35%69.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.391.401.4581.97%71.95%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV +0.058%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%21.21%21.32%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.244.204.7026.67%23.59%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atromitos Athens (Local): 12.20%; AEK Athens (Visit): 66.51%; Draw: 21.29%. For Atromitos Athens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.59I 11.64%NM 11.14%EV +4.79%E +0.557%K +0.631%G +0.030% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.87%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -2.92%E -0.641%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +0.030%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 17:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 17:12 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -13.53%E -10.41%K -45.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -20.17%E -5.38%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.49%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.66%EV -10.87%E -8.11%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -9.52%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 11.48%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.22%EV -18.86%E -15.45%K -85.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.30%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -12.17%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.62%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.97%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.54%E -7.02%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.37%EV -14.20%E -11.01%K -48.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.80%EV -15.83%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.40%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.80%EV -13.78%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 12.85%EV -18.27%E -2.73%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.20%EV -12.20%E -9.25%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 21.95%EV -16.55%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-15 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -3.56%E -2.45%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.71%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.55% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.65% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.56% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |