L’École des cotes

Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 12.20%8.20cote équitable
EV +9.79%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.120%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.65%12.20%12.33%14.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.227.209.0016.00%13.85%13.89%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEK Athens (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.51%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -7.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.20%66.59%66.35%69.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.391.401.4581.97%71.95%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.29%4.70cote équitable
EV +0.058%
Avantage +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%21.21%21.32%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.244.204.7026.67%23.59%23.81%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Pinnacle8.59I 11.64%NM 11.14%EV +4.79%E +0.557%K +0.631%G +0.030%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.87%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -2.92%E -0.641%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +0.030%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:45
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 17:15
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:25
1xBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Suprabets8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:12
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:25
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 17:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -13.53%E -10.41%K -45.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 17:20
NordicBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Betsson7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:54
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:25
BetUS7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -20.17%E -5.38%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.49%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.66%EV -10.87%E -8.11%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -9.52%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:09
PMU (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 11.48%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 68.22%EV -18.86%E -15.45%K -85.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.30%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -12.17%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.62%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 16:55
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:39
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:05
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.97%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:45
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.54%E -7.02%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 16:40
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.37%EV -14.20%E -11.01%K -48.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 12.80%EV -15.83%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.40%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.80%EV -13.78%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (FR)6.70I 14.93%NM 12.85%EV -18.27%E -2.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.20%EV -12.20%E -9.25%K -38.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 21.95%EV -16.55%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -3.56%E -2.45%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 16:45
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.71%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%1.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-03-15 17:25