La escuela de los momios

Atromitos Athens v AEK Athens

Inicio: 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Predicción 12.20%8.20momio equitativo
EV +9.79%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.120%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.65%12.20%12.33%14.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.227.209.0016.00%13.85%13.89%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AEK Athens (Visitante)

Predicción 66.51%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -7.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.20%66.59%66.35%69.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.391.401.4581.97%71.95%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.29%4.70momio equitativo
EV +0.058%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.016%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.53%21.21%21.32%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.244.204.7026.67%23.59%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV +9.79%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.96%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Pinnacle8.59I 11.64%NM 11.14%EV +4.79%E +0.557%K +0.631%G +0.030%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.87%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -2.92%E -0.641%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +0.030%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:20
Coolbet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 16:45
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 17:15
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:25
1xBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Suprabets8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.13%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:12
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:20
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +0.058%E +0.012%K +0.016%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:25
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -4.20%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 17:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -2.41%E -0.301%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -13.53%E -10.41%K -45.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 17:20
NordicBet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:55
Betsson7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -7.29%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:54
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -7.39%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Bovada7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:25
BetUS7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 17:25
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.58%EV -8.51%E -1.13%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -20.17%E -5.38%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.49%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:45
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.32%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.66%EV -10.87%E -8.11%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -9.52%E -2.24%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:09
PMU (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 11.48%EV -11.56%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 68.22%EV -18.86%E -15.45%K -85.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.30%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -12.17%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.62%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 16:55
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:39
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.46%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:05
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.97%EV -8.21%E -5.95%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.82%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:45
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -9.54%E -7.02%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 16:40
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -14.61%E -2.09%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.37%EV -14.20%E -11.01%K -48.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.40%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)6.90I 14.49%NM 12.80%EV -15.83%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.40%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.80%EV -13.78%E -3.40%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 17:05
Winamax (DE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -17.66%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -7.55%E -5.43%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -6.33%E -1.44%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (FR)6.70I 14.93%NM 12.85%EV -18.27%E -2.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.20%EV -12.20%E -9.25%K -38.14%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 21.95%EV -16.55%E -4.22%K -5.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Neds6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.88%E -4.92%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.59%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:40
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -20.71%E -3.19%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.54%E -8.68%K -34.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -3.56%E -2.45%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Grosvenor6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
TABtouch6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
ATG (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
Svenska Spel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -21.93%E -3.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 16:45
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -4.22%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -5.55%E -3.91%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -14.84%E -3.71%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 16:45
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -23.76%E -3.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.71%EV -10.21%E -7.56%K -29.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -12.72%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.97%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%0.3%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-03-15 17:25
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%1.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.43%2.0%2026-03-15 17:25