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Asteras Tripolis v AE Kifisia FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 60.58%1.65fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -8.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.02%60.65%60.53%63.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.5770.92%66.00%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AE Kifisia FC (Visit)
Prediction 14.59%6.85fair odd
EV +16.71%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.399%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.67%14.42%14.69%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.306.008.0018.52%15.87%16.67%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.94%24.79%26.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.703.9029.85%27.47%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 60.58%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 14.59%; Draw: 24.84%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.12%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.29%EV +10.87%E +1.43%K +1.65%G +0.179% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.78%EV +8.10%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.102% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +5.04%E +0.700%K +0.813%G +0.041% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -9.85%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -6.71%E -4.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.14%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.31%EV -4.59%E -0.702%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -10.95%E -7.45%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.80%EV -14.59%E -10.35%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.61%EV -8.09%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -16.80%E -5.02%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -8.82%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -11.56%E -7.92%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -7.36%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.11%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.43%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.74%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.96%EV -16.12%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.23%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -21.22%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.39% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.78% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |