La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Asteras Tripolis v AE Kifisia FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Predicción 60.58%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -3.12%
Kelly -8.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.02%60.65%60.53%63.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.531.5770.92%66.00%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AE Kifisia FC (Visitante)
Predicción 14.59%6.85momio equitativo
EV +16.71%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +2.39%
Crecimiento +0.399%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.67%14.42%14.69%16.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.306.008.0018.52%15.87%16.67%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.806%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.94%24.79%26.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.643.703.9029.85%27.47%27.03%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.12%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.29%EV +10.87%E +1.43%K +1.65%G +0.179% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.78%EV +8.10%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.102% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +5.04%E +0.700%K +0.813%G +0.041% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -9.85%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:46 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -6.71%E -4.36%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.14%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.31%EV -4.59%E -0.702%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 15:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -10.95%E -7.45%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.80%EV -14.59%E -10.35%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.61%EV -8.09%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -16.80%E -5.02%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -8.82%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -11.56%E -7.92%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -7.36%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.11%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.43%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.74%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.96%EV -16.12%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.23%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -21.22%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.39% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 15:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.78% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 15:30 |