L’École des cotes

Asteras Tripolis v AE Kifisia FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Score final : Asteras Tripolis 0–0 AE Kifisia FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Prévision 60.58%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.90%
Avantage -3.12%
Kelly -8.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.02%60.65%60.53%63.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.531.5770.92%66.00%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AE Kifisia FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.59%6.85cote équitable
EV +16.71%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +2.39%
Croissance +0.399%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.67%14.42%14.69%16.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.306.008.0018.52%15.87%16.67%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.84%4.03cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.806%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.94%24.79%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.643.703.9029.85%27.47%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:55
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +16.71%E +2.09%K +2.39%G +0.399%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:55
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.12%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.29%EV +10.87%E +1.43%K +1.65%G +0.179%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:39
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.07%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.78%EV +8.10%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.102%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.15%EV -10.10%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Suprabets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.00%EV +5.04%E +0.700%K +0.813%G +0.041%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -9.85%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:46
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -6.71%E -4.36%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 15:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +2.12%E +0.303%K +0.353%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.14%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:19
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.31%EV -4.59%E -0.702%K -0.829%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 15:30
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 15:45
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.80%EV -10.95%E -7.45%K -23.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:35
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -5.17%E -0.796%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:35
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:35
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.53%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.63%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:35
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.80%EV -14.59%E -10.35%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.61%EV -8.09%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -16.80%E -5.02%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -8.82%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:49
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:09
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 15:40
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 15:30
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:45
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:40
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.92%E -5.21%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:09
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -11.56%E -7.92%K -25.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -7.36%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.11%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.43%EV -12.47%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 15:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.74%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.96%EV -16.12%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -15.56%E -4.58%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 15:35
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:35
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -12.77%E -8.87%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.23%EV -16.84%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-16 15:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -7.32%E -4.78%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.54%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV -21.22%E -3.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.91%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.2%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.39%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-05-16 15:50
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.78%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-05-16 15:30