Language:English
Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.36%56.38%56.27%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.631.631.7067.57%61.44%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
OFI Crete (Visit)
Prediction 17.96%5.57fair odd
EV +7.76%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%17.83%17.87%19.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.065.006.0022.22%19.76%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.79%25.86%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.573.603.8031.25%28.03%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 56.28%; OFI Crete (Visit): 17.96%; Draw: 25.76%. For OFI Crete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +7.40%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.37%E +0.416%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.88%EV -16.70%E -11.29%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.16%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%EV -15.00%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.45%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.90%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.51%E -6.61%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.05%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.49%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:15 |