L’École des cotes

Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:00 UTC

Score final : Aris Thessaloniki 3–1 OFI Crete

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 56.28%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.36%56.38%56.27%57.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.631.631.7067.57%61.44%61.35%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

OFI Crete (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.96%5.57cote équitable
EV +7.76%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.120%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.75%17.83%17.87%19.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.065.006.0022.22%19.76%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.557%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.79%25.86%26.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.573.603.8031.25%28.03%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +7.40%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 11:45
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.37%E +0.416%K +0.505%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:44
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 02:05
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 02:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:43
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.88%EV -16.70%E -11.29%K -34.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.16%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%EV -15.00%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 02:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:44
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.45%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.90%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.51%E -6.61%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:44
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:43
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 11:44
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:43
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:44
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:44
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 11:44
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 11:44
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 11:44
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:44
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:44
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:15
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:45
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:45
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 14:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 11:44
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.05%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-10 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-10 11:44
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.49%K -7.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-10 11:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-10 11:44
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-10 11:44
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-10 02:15