La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 56.28%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -6.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.36%56.38%56.27%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.631.631.7067.57%61.44%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
OFI Crete (Visitante)
Predicción 17.96%5.57momio equitativo
EV +7.76%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.120%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.75%17.83%17.87%19.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.065.006.0022.22%19.76%20.00%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.557%
Kelly -0.756%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.79%25.86%26.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.573.603.8031.25%28.03%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV +7.76%E +1.29%K +1.55%G +0.120% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +7.40%E +1.24%K +1.49%G +0.110% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -6.49%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.94%EV -7.70%E -4.69%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.37%E +0.416%K +0.505%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.12%E -0.557%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.88%EV -16.70%E -11.29%K -34.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.16%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%EV -15.00%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 02:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -4.32%E -2.54%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.45%E -3.24%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.90%EV -6.07%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -10.51%E -6.61%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -8.40%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.40%E -0.908%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.20%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -8.26%E -5.07%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -9.95%E -6.22%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -4.69%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.90%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.05%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.13%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -8.82%E -5.45%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -12.20%E -7.82%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -9.84%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.23%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -17.57%E -5.49%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:15 |