La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Aris Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aris Thessaloniki (Casa)
Previsione 49.49%2.02quota equa
EV -3.50%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.28%49.46%49.59%51.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.861.881.9558.14%53.66%53.19%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Levadiakos (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.40%4.27quota equa
EV +0.847%
Vantaggio +0.196%
Kelly +0.256%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.05%23.33%23.34%25.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.903.904.3128.57%25.67%25.64%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.12%3.69quota equa
EV -5.10%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.40%27.21%27.06%28.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.94%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV +0.847%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -0.557%E -0.131%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 07:38 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:37 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.47%E -3.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.69%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -8.35%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:33 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.13%EV -8.95%E -4.86%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.96%EV -14.88%E -8.65%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.10%EV -11.42%E -6.38%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.43%EV -12.41%E -7.01%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -18.11%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |