L’École des cotesFrançais
Aris Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prévision 49.49%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.28%49.46%49.59%51.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.881.9558.14%53.66%53.19%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Levadiakos (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.40%4.27cote équitable
EV +0.847%
Avantage +0.196%
Kelly +0.256%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.05%23.33%23.34%25.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.904.3128.57%25.67%25.64%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.21%27.06%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.94%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV +0.847%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -0.557%E -0.131%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 07:38 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:37 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.47%E -3.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.69%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -8.35%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:33 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.13%EV -8.95%E -4.86%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.96%EV -14.88%E -8.65%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.10%EV -11.42%E -6.38%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.43%EV -12.41%E -7.01%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -18.11%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |