مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aris Thessaloniki v Levadiakos

البداية: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Aris Thessaloniki 3–0 Levadiakos

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.49%2.02السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -3.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.28%49.46%49.59%51.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.861.881.9558.14%53.66%53.19%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Levadiakos (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.40%4.27السعر العادل
EV +0.847%
الأفضلية +0.196%
Kelly +0.256%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.05%23.33%23.34%25.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.903.904.3128.57%25.67%25.64%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.12%3.69السعر العادل
EV -5.10%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -2.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.40%27.21%27.06%28.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.94%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV +0.847%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -0.557%E -0.131%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:38
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:37
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.47%E -3.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.69%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -8.35%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:25
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Betsson1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:38
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:33
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:31
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:31
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.13%EV -8.95%E -4.86%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.96%EV -14.88%E -8.65%K -20.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.10%EV -11.42%E -6.38%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:39
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 07:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.43%EV -12.41%E -7.01%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:45
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-17 07:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -18.11%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 14:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81%2.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40