La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aris Thessaloniki v Levadiakos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Predicción 49.49%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.28%49.46%49.59%51.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.881.9558.14%53.66%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Levadiakos (Visitante)
Predicción 23.40%4.27momio equitativo
EV +0.847%
Ventaja +0.196%
Kelly +0.256%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.05%23.33%23.34%25.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.904.3128.57%25.67%25.64%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.21%27.06%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.94%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.01%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.05%EV +0.847%E +0.196%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -0.557%E -0.131%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 07:38 |
| Suprabets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.73%E -0.411%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.80%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:37 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -6.47%E -3.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.69%EV -3.37%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -8.35%E -2.47%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.07%E -0.992%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.41%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Betsson | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.02%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.58%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 07:33 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.75%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.13%EV -8.95%E -4.86%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.96%EV -14.88%E -8.65%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -9.92%E -2.58%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.10%EV -11.42%E -6.38%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.23%EV -13.40%E -7.66%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -12.26%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.43%EV -12.41%E -7.01%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -13.43%E -3.63%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.87%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.93%E -6.07%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -15.77%E -4.38%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.94%E -5.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.94%E -5.46%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -16.94%E -4.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -18.11%E -5.17%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.81% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |