Language:English
Aris Thessaloniki v Iraklis FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aris Thessaloniki (Local)
Prediction 55.78%1.79fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.11%55.82%55.71%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.661.7065.36%60.52%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iraklis FC (Visit)
Prediction 18.31%5.46fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.173%
Kelly -0.213%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.38%18.33%18.39%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.965.005.4123.26%20.15%20.00%18.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%25.85%25.90%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.503.7530.77%28.35%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 55.78%; Iraklis FC (Visit): 18.31%; Draw: 25.91%. For Iraklis FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.41, with an expected value of -0.939%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.74%EV -0.939%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -3.62%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.16%EV -11.19%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.02%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.66%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.37%EV -6.80%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -2.95%E -0.557%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.77%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 13:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.28%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 16:18 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -5.43%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -8.52%E -5.20%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.86%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.85%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 16:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.11%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.76%EV -21.26%E -4.95%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.66%EV -14.66%E -9.58%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.42%EV -13.20%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-19 16:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.49% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06% | 2.3% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |