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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Aris Thessaloniki v Iraklis FC

Início: 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Final: Aris Thessaloniki 0–0 Iraklis FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Previsão 55.78%1.79odd justa
EV -5.17%
Vantagem -3.04%
Kelly -7.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.11%55.82%55.71%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.651.661.7065.36%60.52%60.24%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iraklis FC (Visitante)

Previsão 18.31%5.46odd justa
EV -0.939%
Vantagem -0.173%
Kelly -0.213%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.38%18.33%18.39%19.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.304.965.005.4123.26%20.15%20.00%18.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.91%3.86odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -0.757%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.85%25.85%25.90%26.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.533.503.7530.77%28.35%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aris Thessaloniki (Local): 55.78%; Iraklis FC (Visitante): 18.31%; Empate: 25.91%. Para Iraklis FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.41, com valor esperado de -0.939%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.74%EV -0.939%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -3.62%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.16%EV -11.19%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.02%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.66%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.37%EV -6.80%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -2.95%E -0.557%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:09
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:19
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:10
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:14
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.77%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 13:57
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.28%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:18
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -5.43%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:11
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -8.52%E -5.20%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-19 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.86%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.85%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.11%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.76%EV -21.26%E -4.95%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-19 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.66%EV -14.66%E -9.58%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.42%EV -13.20%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-19 16:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%2.3%2026-09-19 16:19