L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Aris Thessaloniki v Iraklis FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC

Score final : Aris Thessaloniki 0–0 Iraklis FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 55.78%1.79cote équitable
EV -5.17%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -7.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.11%55.82%55.71%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.661.7065.36%60.52%60.24%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iraklis FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.31%5.46cote équitable
EV -0.939%
Avantage -0.173%
Kelly -0.213%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.38%18.33%18.39%19.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.965.005.4123.26%20.15%20.00%18.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -0.757%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.85%25.85%25.90%26.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.533.503.7530.77%28.35%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aris Thessaloniki (Local) : 55.78% ; Iraklis FC (Visiteur) : 18.31% ; Match nul : 25.91%. Pour Iraklis FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.41, pour une espérance de -0.939% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.74%EV -0.939%E -0.173%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -3.62%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 16:25
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.16%EV -11.19%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.02%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.73%E -3.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:10
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.66%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.37%EV -6.80%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.29%E -3.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -2.84%E -0.757%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -2.95%E -0.557%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:09
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.61%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -3.87%E -0.737%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:19
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:10
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.12%E -0.208%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:14
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.77%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 13:57
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -10.28%E -2.10%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:18
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:32
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.08%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -5.43%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-19 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.94%E -2.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -12.11%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.96%E -4.83%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -15.77%E -3.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:11
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -8.52%E -5.20%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -8.45%E -1.69%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -9.64%E -5.95%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.78%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.33%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.64%EV -13.02%E -2.74%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -10.75%E -6.72%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-19 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.86%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -14.85%E -3.19%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.28%EV -10.09%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.11%EV -12.43%E -7.91%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.76%EV -21.26%E -4.95%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.14%EV -15.79%E -4.86%K -7.02%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-19 16:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.66%EV -14.66%E -9.58%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.60%E -3.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.42%EV -13.20%E -3.94%K -5.62%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-19 16:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.94%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-09-19 16:25
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-09-19 16:25
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%2.3%2026-09-19 16:19