Language:English
AEL v Panserraikos FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 49.79%2.01fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%49.84%49.83%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.871.851.9858.48%53.51%54.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panserraikos FC (Visit)
Prediction 22.19%4.51fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.691%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.18%22.13%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.964.004.4027.40%25.26%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.98%28.04%30.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.5034.72%31.31%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 49.79%; Panserraikos FC (Visit): 22.19%; Draw: 28.02%. For AEL (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -1.42%E -0.720%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.35%E -0.534%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.68%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -19.00%E -5.20%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.27%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.92%E -0.550%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 16:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 23:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -19.30%E -6.70%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.90%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -11.38%E -6.39%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -12.38%E -7.03%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.29%EV -14.37%E -8.35%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.91%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.16%EV -14.87%E -8.69%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.72%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03% | 72.7% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03% | 72.7% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 54.29% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 29.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 16.61% | 77.1% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |