La escuela de los momios

AEL v Panserraikos FC

Inicio: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Predicción 49.79%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.720%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.52%49.84%49.83%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.871.851.9858.48%53.51%54.05%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panserraikos FC (Visitante)

Predicción 22.19%4.51momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.691%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.18%22.13%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.964.004.4027.40%25.26%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.02%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.770%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%27.98%28.04%30.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.5034.72%31.31%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -1.42%E -0.720%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 13:30
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 13:30
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 13:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 13:30
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.35%E -0.534%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.68%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:05
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -19.00%E -5.20%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 13:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:09
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:13
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.27%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.92%E -0.550%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:15
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:24
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:00
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:19
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:09
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 16:44
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 23:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -19.30%E -6.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.90%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-24 02:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -11.38%E -6.39%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -12.38%E -7.03%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:33
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.29%EV -14.37%E -8.35%K -19.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.91%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 09:34
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.16%EV -14.87%E -8.69%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.72%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%11.7%2026-04-23 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03%72.7%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03%72.7%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 54.29%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 16.61%77.1%2026-04-24 01:00