A Escola das Odds

AEL v Panserraikos FC

Início: 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Previsão 49.79%2.01odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.720%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.52%49.84%49.83%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.871.851.9858.48%53.51%54.05%50.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Panserraikos FC (Visitante)

Previsão 22.19%4.51odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.691%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%22.18%22.13%24.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.653.964.004.4027.40%25.26%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.02%3.57odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.550%
Kelly -0.770%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.97%27.98%28.04%30.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.193.203.5034.72%31.31%31.25%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -1.42%E -0.720%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 13:30
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -1.92%E -0.976%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -11.73%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -2.92%E -1.50%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 13:30
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -3.42%E -1.76%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 13:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -3.91%E -2.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 13:30
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -5.41%E -2.85%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.35%E -0.534%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.68%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:05
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -19.00%E -5.20%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 13:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:09
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.73%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:05
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:13
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 50.76%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.27%EV -5.90%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.92%E -0.550%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 17:15
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -7.40%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:24
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:00
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.53%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 14:19
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.01%E -2.20%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 14:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 12:09
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 16:44
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 23:23
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -15.67%E -4.12%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -19.30%E -6.70%K -10.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:05
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.90%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.93%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-24 02:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -16.78%E -4.47%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.94%E -5.31%K -7.97%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -11.38%E -6.39%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -13.45%E -3.45%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.33%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -12.38%E -7.03%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.23%E -2.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.13%E -4.24%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:33
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 49.29%EV -14.37%E -8.35%K -19.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.91%EV -17.89%E -4.83%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.80%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-23 09:34
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.16%EV -14.87%E -8.69%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.72%EV -12.34%E -3.12%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -14.53%E -4.77%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%11.7%2026-04-23 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03%72.7%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 53.12%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.03%72.7%2026-04-24 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 54.29%1.94I 51.55%NM 29.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 16.61%77.1%2026-04-24 01:00