Language:English
AEL v Panetolikos Agrinio
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.63%36.56%36.47%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.422.6744.44%40.75%41.24%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit)
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.64%32.45%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.12%34.66%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.91%3.23fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.491%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.80%31.09%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.57%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 36.52%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visit): 32.57%; Draw: 30.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -2.49%E -0.933%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -6.33%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -1.08%E -0.337%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -6.53%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -11.28%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 12:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 10:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.04%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -14.67%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.15%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -17.83%E -7.92%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.92% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 2.3% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 12:55 |