A Escola das Odds

AEL v Panetolikos Agrinio

Início: 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Previsão 36.52%2.74odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.933%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.63%36.56%36.47%38.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.452.422.6744.44%40.75%41.24%37.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.766%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.77%32.64%32.45%34.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.12%34.66%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.91%3.23odd justa
EV -1.08%
Vantagem -0.337%
Kelly -0.491%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.30%30.80%31.09%32.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.57%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -2.49%E -0.933%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -6.33%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 12:50
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 12:45
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -1.08%E -0.337%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 12:25
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 12:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 12:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -6.53%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -11.28%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 12:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:25
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 10:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:44
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 12:25
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-08 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 12:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 12:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:10
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-08 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 12:20
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:24
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.04%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -14.67%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.15%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-08 12:55
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -17.83%E -7.92%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 12:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-04-08 12:55