La escuela de los momios

AEL v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Predicción 36.52%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.933%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.63%36.56%36.47%38.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.422.6744.44%40.75%41.24%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%32.64%32.45%34.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.852.883.0038.46%35.12%34.66%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.91%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.80%31.09%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2037.04%33.57%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -2.49%E -0.933%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.12%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.80%EV -6.33%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 12:50
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -2.86%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 12:45
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -1.08%E -0.337%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 12:25
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 12:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 12:35
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 12:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -6.53%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.99%EV -11.28%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-08 12:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.87%E -2.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:25
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 10:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:44
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 12:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 12:25
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-08 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 12:20
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 12:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-08 10:10
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-08 12:55
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.54%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -15.33%E -5.89%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 12:20
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:24
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:24
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -13.08%E -5.50%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -2.30%E -0.766%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 12:25
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.18%E -6.03%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -10.44%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -14.91%E -6.40%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 12:25
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.66%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.41%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.04%EV -15.27%E -6.58%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -14.67%E -5.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.15%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-08 12:55
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -17.83%E -7.92%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-04-08 12:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-04-08 12:55