Language:English
AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Athens (Local)
Prediction 64.72%1.55fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -10.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.70%64.78%67.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.441.4775.19%69.89%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 13.43%7.44fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +0.854%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 7.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.43%13.48%15.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.716.637.9516.95%14.91%15.09%12.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%21.87%21.74%24.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.084.004.4027.78%24.51%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 64.72%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 13.43%; Draw: 21.85%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.44. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.14%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.06%EV +6.79%E +0.854%K +0.977%G +0.066% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.95%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.32%EV +4.10%E +0.529%K +0.608%G +0.025% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.52%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.17%EV +3.43%E +0.446%K +0.512%G +0.018% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.34%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.86%EV -2.08%E -0.285%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.61%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -21.33%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.45%EV -13.93%E -10.47%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.70%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -18.06%E -4.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.50%E -2.84%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.96%E -4.46%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.51%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.96%EV -20.75%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.41%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.39% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.87% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |