La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 64.72%1.55momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -3.31%
Kelly -10.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.70%64.78%67.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.441.4775.19%69.89%69.44%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Panathinaikos (Visitante)
Predicción 13.43%7.44momio equitativo
EV +6.79%
Ventaja +0.854%
Kelly +0.977%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.06%13.43%13.48%15.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.716.637.9516.95%14.91%15.09%12.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%21.87%21.74%24.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.004.4027.78%24.51%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.14%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 12.06%EV +6.79%E +0.854%K +0.977%G +0.066% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.95%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.32%EV +4.10%E +0.529%K +0.608%G +0.025% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Suprabets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.52%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.17%EV +3.43%E +0.446%K +0.512%G +0.018% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.34%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 12.86%EV -2.08%E -0.285%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.61%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -21.33%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.45%EV -13.93%E -10.47%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.70%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -18.06%E -4.81%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.50%E -2.84%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.96%E -4.46%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.51%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.96%EV -20.75%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.41%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.39% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.87% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |