L’École des cotes

AEK Athens v Panathinaikos

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Score final : AEK Athens 2–1 Panathinaikos

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Prévision 64.72%1.55cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -3.31%
Kelly -10.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.70%64.78%67.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.441.4775.19%69.89%69.44%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Panathinaikos (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.43%7.44cote équitable
EV +6.79%
Avantage +0.854%
Kelly +0.977%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 7.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.06%13.43%13.48%15.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.716.637.9516.95%14.91%15.09%12.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.85%4.58cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.74%21.87%21.74%24.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.004.4027.78%24.51%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.14%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 12.06%EV +6.79%E +0.854%K +0.977%G +0.066%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 11:45
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.95%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.32%EV +4.10%E +0.529%K +0.608%G +0.025%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.52%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.17%EV +3.43%E +0.446%K +0.512%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:40
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.34%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 11:44
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +0.744%E +0.099%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:43
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.86%EV -2.08%E -0.285%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:45
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:45
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.92%EV -5.52%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -4.94%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:44
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 21:59
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:43
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 21:24
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 21:24
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:45
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.61%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%EV -5.97%E -0.853%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -21.33%E -5.93%K -8.21%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-10 11:44
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:43
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 64.58%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:44
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.45%EV -13.93%E -10.47%K -42.21%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.70%EV -9.33%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -18.06%E -4.81%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:19
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 11:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -12.69%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-10 11:44
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.75%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 00:19
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.91%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.15%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 00:19
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.89%EV -7.46%E -5.21%K -17.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.05%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.09%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -14.03%E -2.19%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -11.50%E -2.84%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 11:45
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.80%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -16.05%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.96%E -4.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 00:19
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 11:44
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 11:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 11:44
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.48%EV -11.99%E -8.81%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -19.40%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -14.78%E -3.79%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-10 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.51%EV -10.05%E -7.23%K -25.76%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.96%EV -20.75%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.41%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 11:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.39%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.87%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-10 01:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.21%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-10 11:45
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%2.0%2026-05-10 11:44