Idioma:Español
AEK Athens v Aris Thessaloniki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 67.94%1.47momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -10.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.70%68.04%67.88%70.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.361.361.4179.37%73.77%73.53%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante)
Predicción 12.13%8.24momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.21%12.02%12.19%13.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.477.509.0015.38%13.39%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.93%5.02momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.691%
Kelly -0.870%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%19.94%19.93%21.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.484.504.8525.00%22.30%22.22%20.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: AEK Athens (Local): 67.94%; Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante): 12.13%; Empate: 19.93%. Para Aris Thessaloniki (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.24. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -11.68%E -8.99%K -38.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +9.21%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.83%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +3.14%E +0.370%K +0.419%G +0.013% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +3.14%E +0.370%K +0.419%G +0.013% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.41%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.64%EV -2.32%E -0.288%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.97%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.69%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -3.35%E -0.691%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.87%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.85%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.72%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -7.78%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -7.78%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 05:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 09:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 19:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-03 03:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-03 03:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.15%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.20%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -12.36%E -9.58%K -42.62%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.23%EV -13.85%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.44%EV -15.31%E -3.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 67.89%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.89%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -18.09%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.89%EV -11.68%E -8.99%K -38.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.69%EV -18.09%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -20.29%E -5.07%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -16.30%E -3.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 16:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.99% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 11.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.01% | -0.0% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.46% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |