StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AEK Athens v Aris Thessaloniki

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-05 18:00 UTC

Endstand: AEK Athens 5–0 Aris Thessaloniki

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AEK Athens (Heim)

Prognose 67.94%1.47faire Quote
EV -4.21%
Vorteil -2.98%
Kelly -10.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.70%68.04%67.88%70.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.261.361.361.4179.37%73.77%73.53%70.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Aris Thessaloniki (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.13%8.24faire Quote
EV +9.21%
Vorteil +1.02%
Kelly +1.15%
Wachstum +0.106%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.21%12.02%12.19%13.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.507.477.509.0015.38%13.39%13.33%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 19.93%5.02faire Quote
EV -3.35%
Vorteil -0.691%
Kelly -0.870%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.14%19.94%19.93%21.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.484.504.8525.00%22.30%22.22%20.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: AEK Athens (Heim): 67.94%; Aris Thessaloniki (Auswärts): 12.13%; Unentschieden: 19.93%. Für Aris Thessaloniki (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.24. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -11.68%E -8.99%K -38.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV +9.21%E +1.02%K +1.15%G +0.106%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 09:55
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.83%EV -6.25%E -4.53%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +3.14%E +0.370%K +0.419%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +3.14%E +0.370%K +0.419%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 16:24
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.41%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.64%EV -2.32%E -0.288%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:29
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.97%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.69%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.34%EV -3.35%E -0.691%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 13:19
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.92%E -0.366%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 16:20
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.87%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 13:19
Suprabets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.48%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.85%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.72%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.81%EV -5.35%E -0.686%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -7.78%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.43%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -7.78%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:10
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:10
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -4.21%E -2.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.93%E -5.06%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 05:29
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 19:04
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 09:54
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 19:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -8.99%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 03:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.15%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.25%EV -10.20%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -12.03%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -12.36%E -9.58%K -42.62%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.23%EV -13.85%E -1.95%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.44%EV -15.31%E -3.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-03 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -8.96%E -6.69%K -26.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.71%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 67.89%EV -14.40%E -11.43%K -55.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%EV -15.06%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.89%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -18.09%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.89%EV -11.68%E -8.99%K -38.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.69%EV -18.09%E -2.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -20.29%E -5.07%K -6.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-31 11:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 18:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.03%EV -8.28%E -6.14%K -23.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 18:10
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -21.13%E -3.25%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -16.30%E -3.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 16:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.99%9.09I 11.00%NM 11.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.01%-0.0%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%2.5%2026-09-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%2.5%2026-09-04 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.76%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%2.5%2026-09-04 10:10
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 70.46%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%4.4%2026-09-04 14:30