A Escola das Odds

AEK Athens v AEL

Início: 2026-03-07 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Previsão 80.48%1.24odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -8.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.54%80.48%80.64%83.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.161.151.2294.34%86.19%86.96%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Visitante)

Previsão 5.97%16.74odd justa
EV +16.59%
Vantagem +0.850%
Kelly +0.896%
Crescimento +0.149%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.90%6.06%5.90%8.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0014.0513.5019.529.09%7.12%7.41%5.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.54%7.38odd justa
EV +8.34%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.099%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.87%13.46%13.46%16.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.406.406.408.0018.52%15.63%15.63%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%19.52I 5.12%NM 4.90%EV +16.59%E +0.850%K +0.896%G +0.149%7.97I 12.55%NM 11.99%EV +7.93%E +0.995%K +1.14%G +0.090%4.6%2026-03-07 15:35
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.55%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004%8.2%2026-03-07 15:49
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099%5.3%2026-03-07 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099%5.3%2026-03-07 15:30
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:04
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:05
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:59
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -5.03%E -4.26%K -27.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:54
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-07 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:49
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 81.35%EV -14.69%E -13.85%K -244.77%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.39%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.27%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 15:49
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 15:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -11.47%E -10.42%K -114.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:49
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV -13.39%E -0.923%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:54
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 15:49
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.89%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.63%EV -16.04%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.59%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.48%EV -17.87%E -1.30%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 15:34
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 80.23%EV -13.88%E -12.97%K -198.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.36%EV -19.36%E -1.43%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.41%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 15:44
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:44
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:34
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.97%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:54
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 78.72%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.56%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 15:49
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 77.48%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.17%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.36%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.54%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -26.87%E -4.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.00%EV -34.30%E -3.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -15.36%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 15:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.02%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.28%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.7%2026-03-07 15:55
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80%1.8%2026-03-07 15:20