L’École des cotes

AEK Athens v AEL

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Prévision 80.48%1.24cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -8.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.54%80.48%80.64%83.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.161.151.2294.34%86.19%86.96%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AEL (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.97%16.74cote équitable
EV +16.59%
Avantage +0.850%
Kelly +0.896%
Croissance +0.149%

avec la cote maximale 19.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.90%6.06%5.90%8.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0014.0513.5019.529.09%7.12%7.41%5.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.54%7.38cote équitable
EV +8.34%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.87%13.46%13.46%16.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.406.408.0018.52%15.63%15.63%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.11%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%19.52I 5.12%NM 4.90%EV +16.59%E +0.850%K +0.896%G +0.149%7.97I 12.55%NM 11.99%EV +7.93%E +0.995%K +1.14%G +0.090%4.6%2026-03-07 15:35
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.55%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 82.54%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV +7.51%E +0.417%K +0.442%G +0.033%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004%8.2%2026-03-07 15:49
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099%5.3%2026-03-07 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +8.34%E +1.04%K +1.19%G +0.099%5.3%2026-03-07 15:30
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:04
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:05
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +1.54%E +0.091%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 11:59
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -5.03%E -4.26%K -27.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:54
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +1.57%E +0.209%K +0.241%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-07 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.80%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:49
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 81.35%EV -14.69%E -13.85%K -244.77%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.39%EV -4.43%E -0.277%K -0.295%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.27%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-07 15:49
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.25%E -7.23%K -58.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 15:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.27%EV -11.47%E -10.42%K -114.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -10.40%E -0.694%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -5.20%E -0.743%K -0.867%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:49
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.47%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV -13.39%E -0.923%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:40
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:54
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 79.84%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 15:49
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.89%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -16.38%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.63%EV -16.04%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.59%EV -9.86%E -8.80%K -82.14%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.48%EV -17.87%E -1.30%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 15:34
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 80.23%EV -13.88%E -12.97%K -198.31%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.36%EV -19.36%E -1.43%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.41%EV -13.33%E -2.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 15:44
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 13:44
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.98%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 15:34
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.97%EV -6.64%E -5.72%K -41.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 15:54
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 78.72%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -22.35%E -1.72%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.56%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-07 15:49
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:45
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.78%EV -1.81%E -1.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -7.44%E -6.47%K -49.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -8.59%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:40
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -5.83%E -4.99%K -34.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -18.75%E -3.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 77.48%EV -10.66%E -9.61%K -96.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.17%EV -28.32%E -2.36%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.36%EV -24.16%E -4.31%K -5.25%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.61%EV -3.42%E -2.85%K -17.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -25.52%E -4.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 75.54%EV -4.22%E -3.55%K -22.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV -31.31%E -2.72%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -26.87%E -4.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.91%EV -9.05%E -8.01%K -69.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.00%EV -34.30%E -3.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -15.36%E -2.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.06%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-03-07 15:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.02%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.28%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.70%1.7%2026-03-07 15:55
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.80%1.8%2026-03-07 15:20